UPDATE 3:41pm June 7: see end of post.
I am a passenger in a car with my friend Owen driving…we’re chatting.
Me: did you see that sign? I think we better turn around.
Owen: why are you always so negative!?
Me: but the sign said…
Owen: if people listen to you skeptics, there’ll be no more funding for roads.
Me: I just think this time that…
Owen: why are you so negative when us drivers work so hard and have such good intentions?
Me: I really think we should turn around
Owen: instead of always being so critical of my direction, why don’t you start your own Proper Driving Direction Promotion (PDDP) project?
Me: there’s a truck coming toward us!!!!
Owen: you know, you’re never going to be taken seriously if you can’t have a more positive message
(sounds of screams and glass breaking)
Owen in the ambulance just before he loses consciousness: next time I’ll let the f&@$ing skeptic drive
Note: See Owen Barder’s ‘Open Letter to Aid Skeptics’ on page 21 of the recent Africa issue of the International Affairs Forum – download the pdf file here.
UPDATE 3:41pm June 7: I said on Twitter that the above was “kind of a response” to Owen. If you are wondering why I didn’t have a more direct response, it’s because I thought his open letter reflected much more a generalized fear of aid skeptics than anything about my specific views. For example, I have never said we should eliminate aid or even cut aid, I argue we should shift the focus away from obsessive focus on aid spending to getting feedback on aid spent and holding aid agencies accountable for that feedback. This kind of argument has not had any negative effect on aid budgets, contrary to Owen’s fears. On Cash on Delivery, I actually wrote a blurb promoting the original Cash on Delivery book:
The authors deserve a serious hearing for their very creative Cash on Delivery proposal. It would change aid in two welcome directions: emphasizing outcomes rather than inputs and giving recipient governments freedom to choose how to reach their goals.
Since Owen so badly misunderstood or misremembered my previous arguments, it was clear to me that he was reacting to the idea of aid skepticism in general and not to any particular argument of mine. He seems to want to stamp out skepticism in general by some kind of foolproof test, which also seemed to me far from foolproof for either optimists or skeptics.
(By the way, despite our sometimes spirited arguments in print, I know Owen personally and like him a lot, so I was expecting him to take the above as affectionate teasing and not in any way malicious.)






39 Comments
ha ha…next time owen will start saying the same things
Correct, up till “next time I’ll let the f&@$ing skeptic drive”
I hope it is not too late anyway for our friend Owen.
Very funny. To be fair, when the “Wrong Way” signs are pretty clear, the professional aid optimists will join the skeptics in trying to turn the car around – witness the response to 1 million shirts.
The problem is that in reality the “Wrong Way” signs are not very clearly or unambiguously posted. This doesn’t necessarily mean that the best path is to stay where you are and not move.
Don’t find this to be a clever analogy at all.
Hopefully the people that don’t understand this analogy aren’t involved in creating developmental solution or policy making.
The arrogance of many well-meaning people and organizations is that they refuse to interpret the large and small “signs” that are posted throughout the communities that they are operating. They refuse to listen to local leaders and citizens at the grassroots level. They are ready to implement before they have made an investment.
It takes more than good intentions.
Variation, Same scene, but Bill is driving:
Owen: Did you see that sign? I think we’d better turn around.
Bill: Why are you always so trusting of authority? You think the government knows what you should and shouldn’t do? Really?
Owen: But the sign said…
Bill: You’ve gotta be skeptical about things, my friend. If we keep going in the directions we’ve always been told to go in, we’ll keep getting nowhere just as fast as we always have.
Owen: I just think this time that…
Bill: I know you mean well and work hard to do what’s right, but you’ve always been a bit of an unquestioning, play-by-the-rules kinda guy. Look, have we gotten anywhere by going the easy route, following these signs put up by The Man? No! This is probably just yet another way that the government shackles our own creativity and drive. Ergo, I will drive on like the Searcher I am.
Owen: I really think we should turn around. I mean your skepticism makes you sound really smart and all, but . . .
[suddenly, there is a vista with a view of El Dorado glimmering at the bottom of the hill]
In unison: Ooooh, Ahhhh.
Owen: Next time I won’t argue with a skeptic . . .
he he Michael…am very much involved. And I do understand the analogy – just don’t think it’s very clever or insightful…is mostly misleading.
Am so much involved in creating global strategies in fact, that I have no energy to create self-important and ridiculous websites like the one I just visited …on live.com… nice website, really, am sure your cousins and neighbours in Texas love it and look up to you for it.
But seriously, a lame, self-serving analogy like this begs the question: Where are we when we’re just as defensive about our approach as the development world is about theirs?
Would that the real world had as much clarity as a red highway sign.
Read Mr. Barder’s open letter; apart from conflating the Marshall Plan with aid to Africa’s poorest countries I saw little to dispute.
Regarding Cash on Delivery, try it, if it works we learned something and can move on; if it doesn’t work, we still learned something and can still move on. This is what the empirical process is about.
There’s a lot in Owen’s letter that I’d have thought Prof Easterly ought to agree with, especially Owen’s attitude toward donor ‘expertise’.
Oh my, I’m really sorry about this, but I’m starting to understand why satire is so fun . . . and easy!
2nd variation:
Owen: Hey, that sign didn’t just grow there. You put it up, didn’t you?
Bill: Well, actually, now that you mention it, yes I did.
Owen: So what happens if we keep driving?
Bill: I don’t know exactly.
Owen: ?
Bill: But no good can come of it. At least none has so far. Believe me, I know.
Owen: Can I put my own sign there too?
Bill: No you cannot.
Owen: Why not?
Bill: Because you and I disagree, and I’m the one that’s right. If we allowed for alternate views and signs—that is, views and signs that don’t accept the Truth as I see it—the whole analogy falls apart.
Owen: ?
Bill: Yes, for this analogy to work, we have to believe that the sign is the Truth, which is my Truth, made manifest for all eyes that are willing to see.
Owen: So if I keep going, we’ll get run over by a truck or something? Because if we don’t heed God’s warnings, we will suffer the consequences?
Bill: If this analogy has any chance of working, yes, we will.
Owen: Wouldn’t the analogy be better if we ran over some kids instead?
Bill: Only if the kids are intelligent, creative, entrepreneurial one that would otherwise have thrived.
Owen: Can I be similarly skeptical of your truck?
Bill: You may. But in my story, you will still be severely injured by it, so your skepticism toward my skepticism is useless. Sorry, you should have heeded my warning.
Owen: Are we now inside an analogy for academic debate? Where violent imagery is often used to describe the fate of the intellectually vanquished?
Bill: [to himself] This is annoying. Who is he to question me? Where’s that truck?
Jess,
Your comments are a slightly passive aggressive. I was making a general statement about the aid development industry. I did not personally attack you or anyone else. Why are you so hostile?
I enjoy the satire that Bill adds to the discussions. Arrogant, self-righteousness has no place in the aid and relief industry.
I am an independent global citizen that does not represent any charity, church, NGO, or government. I have partnered with my Ugandan friends to help the underprivileged and vulnerable people in their villages and communities. I am a huge advocate of supporting Ugandans helping Ugandans. I have traveled there many times since 1998 on my own time and with my own money. I support my passion by having a job in corporate America working for a medical device company whose products save lives. I just happen to find it more fulfilling to visit my friends in Uganda on holiday than to go to the beach, go on a cruise, or go to Disney World. That’s what works for me. I don’t demand that of anyone else.
Here is information about one of my friends that I support:
Ugandan artist Fred Mutebi has exhibited his distinctive woodcut prints in galleries all over the world. He has established himself as a premier international artist and compassionate humanitarian. His mastery of the primitive art of woodcut printmaking has earned him global acclaim and recognition. He is the founder and Executive Director of Let Art Talk. The organization uses art as an educational tool to teach underprivileged and vulnerable children and communities in Uganda. They have gained recent accolades for their program in the city of Gulu in the northern part of Uganda.
Fred Mutebi
http://www.fredmutebi.org/
Let Art Talk
http://www.letarttalk.org/
Let Art Talk | US Embassy in Uganda
http://kampala.usembassy.gov/art_talks.html
Fred Mutebi and Let Art Talk | U.S. Department of State
http://exchanges.state.gov/multimedia/fred-mutebi-talks-about-let-art-talk.html
Bill – I certainly wasn’t offended in any way by your satire. Keep up the good work.
Owen
One theme I see running through some of the more recent modifications of foreign aid is an attempt to make them look more like market orders. The market works on a Cash on Delivery system already. If I go to the store, and they don’t deliver what I want, I don’t give them my cash. Small scale field experiments are conducted every day by market participants in developed countries. They experiment for themselves, consumer reporting groups experiment, and even companies trying to promote their products experiment to try to satisfy the desires of their customers. Perhaps a rebranding is in order. Professor Easterly, you’re not an aid sceptic, you’ve pointed to several examples where aid has helped, especially disaster relief and some health related projects. The planning/searching distinction I think is far more important. Aid can work as long as it is compatible with basic economic principles. Focus on getting the right incentives, the right rules and allow for quick failure of things that are not working and scaling up those that are.
John, great satires!
“I have never said we should eliminate aid or even cut aid.” If you polled 100 of your followers I’d be surprised if five knew you thought that.
Any “follower” of Bill’s who thinks that Bill is out to nihilistically eliminate aid must never have bothered to turn past the title page of either of his books. That is not what they say.
Any “follower” of Bill’s who thinks that Bill is out to nihilistically eliminate aid must never have bothered to turn past the title page of either of his books. That is not what they say.
OTOH he is, apparently, an uncritical supporter of Dambasa Moyo and that is exactly what she’s campaigning for.
Michael – your website is called “The World According to Me”…and has a photo of a man with his head raised high looking out into the horizon that calls himself an ‘independent global citizen’ – that is one fantastic Onion article just waiting to happen.
Jess,
You are trying to discredit me based on the title of my website and my profile picture. Interesting! That’s what I call “judging a book by it’s cover”. I think your comment will help people understand the failures of many aid and development programs. Imagine large global institutions arrogantly judging Africans by their “cover” and coming to the conclusion that they are not qualified or capable of self-determination.
For the record, I love the Onion. I hope they do a parody of my website. I would welcome the publicity that it would generate for my Ugandan friends who are doing wonderful work in Uganda.
Bryan, so what can I do about people not reading what I actually say?
Terence, You are not understanding the nature of the intellectual debate. I am not “supporting” some “campaigning,” I am trying to make arguments based on logic and evidence, and responding to others’ arguments on the same grounds. I don’t “unconditionally” support anyone, nor do I expect such support for myself.
I am now posting on Twitter an inquiry as to whether 95% of my “followers” (not a term that I am comfortable with) really do think that I want to eliminate aid. Please give your own impressions as further comments on this post.
In response to your recent tweet, and as a frequent visitor/reader of this blog, I do not think that you want to eliminate aid.
I’m comfortable enough to be a follower-with-quotation-marks, but not without. I have never heard you advocate for less aid, only more accountable, transparent, and effective aid. The caricaturization has always confused me.
It is enough to read the prints on the logo of this site to get a better idea about Prof. Easterly’s position.
It says “AIDWATCH: Just asking that the aid benefit the poor” (See on top of this page)
It is all about the accountability of the aid industry and not about eliminating aid/charity/compassion altogether.
Maybe the reason why they think that accountability means elimination of aid, is that the aid industry doesn’t actually believe it can (or is) achieving its stated goals.
I would have a hard time believing that 95% of your ‘followers’ believe that, but then I guess it depends on what a follower is – interesting term. Conjures up all sorts of images. I think somebody who has actually read your books would not fall into this 95%, but what about the casual observers? I think that the aid debates are usually presented as opposing extremes – one side against another…Sachs vs. Easterly…Aid vs. No Aid. I imagine in a lot of peoples’ minds you are just lumped into the No Aid category.
Well, I “follow you,” (yeah, right) ….
and I’m not certain you want to get rid of all aid.
You just have little good to say about anything that is currently in place.
And it’s not just that the glass is half-full, but I don’t too often see an attitude of knowing how or what to get it to the top.
Otherwise, great work.
There’s lots of potential in this skeptical attitude, and I see you doing great things with it.
Simple minds like simple answers.
I would like to think this is simply a problem of semantics: ‘aid skeptic’ can be interpreted to mean skeptical about ANY aid, rather than skeptical about the effectiveness of particular aid projects, or more generally, skeptical of how effective our aid models are.
But then I read this in Owen Barder’s original article: “Aid skeptics promote an interesting and unexpected idea: that aid can cause harm to the people it is meant to help.”
I had naively assumed that anyone with any interest in the subject was well aware of the damage done by many of the aid projects of the past — particularly large scale technical projects instigated by Western corporations and designed primarily for their own benefit. If the possibility that badly designed and targeted aid can cause harm is indeed a novel idea then I have been badly mistaken.
The rest of Barder’s article, however, goes on to talk about talk about better ways to target and deliver aid, however, to avoid its being wasted, specifically the Cash on Delivery proposal. What are we to make of this implicit admission that aid can indeed be ineffective? Is Barder himself an ‘aid skeptic’?
No, I think the more reasonable conclusion is that Barder has decided to set up critics of current aid models as a straw man– perhaps with the idea that “This type of counter-intuitive thinking turns economists into overnight celebrities, and it certainly helps to sell their books.”
I would suggest that telling people who are critical of our aid models that they must either shut up or join the ranks of the various wing nuts who oppose all kinds of aid is equivalent to telling people who were critical of the invasion of Iraq that they are giving aid and comfort to Al Qaeda.
The only answer is to stand your ground and repeat with as much patience as you can muster that, on the contrary, criticizing your government when you believe it is wrong is the highest form of patriotism, and criticizing an aid effort gone wrong is the highest form of loyalty to the interests of those we are trying to help.
I’ve never perceived you as being against aid, but instead for having aid be more effective. But then I’m an aid skeptic too.
Terence, You are not understanding the nature of the intellectual debate. I am not “supporting” some “campaigning,” I am trying to make arguments based on logic and evidence, and responding to others’ arguments on the same grounds. I don’t “unconditionally” support anyone, nor do I expect such support for myself.
Thanks Bill, that’s excellent to hear. Now, can you point me to any critique you’ve offered of Moyo? You’ve certainly found plenty of time to raise your voice in support of her. Which is fine, but – to return to my original point – the fact that you give a free ride to aid-critics such as Moyo while, at the same time, devoting a plenty of time to the numerous – real and imagined – failings of the aid industry does, seem rather indicative of some strong underlying priors.
Still, I enjoy your blog and learn from reading it, so thanks for the forum, and for your reply.
Moyo’s publishers needed her to sell books. The book was purposely meant to be inflamatory and melodramatic in order to stimulate debate. The fact that people have been discussing and debating “Dead Aid” since it was published proves that she was successful. Dambisa Moyo herself probably doesn’t believe 100% of what is in her book.
I read Dambisa Moyo’s book closely, and I reviewed it in Finance and Development last fall. Nowhere in the book does Moyo call for aid to be quickly eliminated.
At one point she asks a rhetorical question about what the consequences of quick elimination of aid would be, which is a reasonable and thoughtful question that is worthwhile to ponder as a provocative thought exercise. At another point she espouses the ultimate, long-run goal of “an aid-free world”, which strikes me as uncontroversial, since not even the strongest aid advocates believe that aid should continue literally forever. Neither of these constitutes recommending the quick elimination of all aid.
It may be that in other writings or speeches she actually recommended the quick elimination of all aid. If so I’d appreciate it if someone could post a link. But the book does not say that.
I would like every aid and relief organization to put in their mission statement something that mentions that their job is to eliminate their job.
Bill, being more explicit would help. I still routinely have people telling me that cost sharing works better in distributing LLINs. People who know a fair amount about development mainly (in my experience) consume your work responsibly. The 600 word opeds where your opinions come across as very strong and influence a wider range of people who are not even involved with development to begin with (and don’t yet care) is where my primary concern lies.
If you say $2.3 trillion has been wasted in aid and someone with little or limited knowledge of the topic reads it do you think they’ll say let’s shift aid from the bad projects to the good ones? How do you think those people will respond to others in the future when offered with a chance to help out? The answer is much more likely to be along the lines of $2.3 trillion has been wasted so aid doesn’t work rather than maybe this is one of the good projects/ngos/etc so I’ll look into more.
Our system for involving people in these issues also has very poor incentives on a variety of levels (and especially at the lower ones) and promotes less than ideal people to positions of influence so many of your arguments are also frequently taken somewhat out of context as fodder for the anti-aid types. I don’t have a great answer for this. Being more explicit is the best I got for now, but I’ll think about it and get back to you
Hi Michael Clemens,
Thanks for your comment. You’re right: she doesn’t call for the immediate elimination of aid in her book (and, of course, nor does Professor Easterly in his). I concede the point.
On the other hand, Moyo makes statements like the following in this interview
and
and
Above and beyond the suggestion of a rapid reduction in aid and the fact that she doesn’t correct the reporter when they talk of eliminating aid, her poverty stats are, as far as I’m aware, utterly incorrect.
It would be nice if her supporters pulled her up on that.
The “painfully honest realization that there is no reliable evidence on exactly what to do to end poverty” * can be read as a suggestion that efforts to reduce poverty are just too hard. I doubt that is what Bill really means, but his critique of the self-cloning mental vacancy of the aid industry can seem a counsel of despair.
* http://aidwatchers.com/2010/05/how-the-audience-educates-the-lecturer-skepticism-and-freedom/
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