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	<title>Comments on: Did Bill and Melinda Gates Claim Malaria Victories Based on Phony Numbers?</title>
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	<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/</link>
	<description>just asking that aid benefit the poor</description>
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		<title>By: I.P.A. Manning</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4475</link>
		<dc:creator>I.P.A. Manning</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 20:34:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4475</guid>
		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://zambiaconservation.blogspot.com/2007/10/mossy-nets-and-feeling-good-about.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://zambiaconservation.blogspot.com/2007/10/mossy-nets-and-feeling-good-about.html&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://zambiaconservation.blogspot.com/2007/10/mossy-nets-and-feeling-good-about.html" rel="nofollow">http://zambiaconservation.blogspot.com/2007/10/mossy-nets-and-feeling-good-about.html</a></p>
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		<title>By: Steve</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4474</link>
		<dc:creator>Steve</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2009 11:34:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4474</guid>
		<description>I realise this may continue over at the &#039;Chronicle of Philanthropy&#039; blog, but in case any is still reading down here I would just like to add my thoughts.
(i) Please can we spend 10% of budgets implementing, sustaining, reading and acting upon valid M&amp;E.
(ii) Can our valid M&amp;E be based on outcomes and impact, and not coverage of drugs/bednets supplied.
(iii) Ditto April&#039;s points above.
Steve.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I realise this may continue over at the &#8216;Chronicle of Philanthropy&#8217; blog, but in case any is still reading down here I would just like to add my thoughts.</p>
<p>(i) Please can we spend 10% of budgets implementing, sustaining, reading and acting upon valid M&#038;E.</p>
<p>(ii) Can our valid M&#038;E be based on outcomes and impact, and not coverage of drugs/bednets supplied.</p>
<p>(iii) Ditto April&#8217;s points above.</p>
<p>Steve.</p>
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		<title>By: Blog Maintenance Committee of the People</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4472</link>
		<dc:creator>Blog Maintenance Committee of the People</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2009 09:30:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4472</guid>
		<description>Chronicle of Philanthropy reports a comment on this post by the Gates Foundation:
&lt;a href=&quot;http://philanthropy.com/giveandtake/index.php?id=915&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://philanthropy.com/giveandtake/index.php?id=915&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chronicle of Philanthropy reports a comment on this post by the Gates Foundation:</p>
<p><a href="http://philanthropy.com/giveandtake/index.php?id=915" rel="nofollow">http://philanthropy.com/giveandtake/index.php?id=915</a></p>
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		<title>By: qt</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4471</link>
		<dc:creator>qt</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Feb 2009 06:52:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4471</guid>
		<description>The WHO in recent years has recommended the use of interior spraying with DDT claiming reductions in transmission rate of as much as 90%.  Are these numbers reliable and why is the WHO reluctant to mention spraying efforts?
This study seems to indicate the promise of a combination of interior spraying and treatment:  &lt;a href=&quot;http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&amp;cpsidt=17251979&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Impact of DDT re-introduction on malaria transmission in KwaZulu-Natal&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The WHO in recent years has recommended the use of interior spraying with DDT claiming reductions in transmission rate of as much as 90%.  Are these numbers reliable and why is the WHO reluctant to mention spraying efforts?</p>
<p>This study seems to indicate the promise of a combination of interior spraying and treatment:  <a href="http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&#038;cpsidt=17251979" rel="nofollow">Impact of DDT re-introduction on malaria transmission in KwaZulu-Natal</a></p>
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		<title>By: Jeremy</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4470</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeremy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 08:29:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4470</guid>
		<description>April, I think your point:
&quot;These numbers themselves are not very reliable, and we know that a bednet handed out is a long way from a bednet being slept under when mosquitoes are out. Ditto for drugs. Yet - the global community plows onward blindly.&quot;
...is key.  Anyone who has lived in Sub-Saharan Africa knows that the battle is not supplying adequate nets, but rather ensuring that nets are used correctly.  Too often, bednets are turned into fishnets, wedding dresses (seriously - wedding dresses), etc.
It always amazes me to hear activists and fundraisers in the US imply that malaria problems could be resolved if only development actors would supply enough nets.  Perhaps because measuring net distribution is easier than measuring the accompanying behavior change or (as detailed above at length) measuring impact on incidence rates?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>April, I think your point:</p>
<p>&#8220;These numbers themselves are not very reliable, and we know that a bednet handed out is a long way from a bednet being slept under when mosquitoes are out. Ditto for drugs. Yet &#8211; the global community plows onward blindly.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8230;is key.  Anyone who has lived in Sub-Saharan Africa knows that the battle is not supplying adequate nets, but rather ensuring that nets are used correctly.  Too often, bednets are turned into fishnets, wedding dresses (seriously &#8211; wedding dresses), etc.</p>
<p>It always amazes me to hear activists and fundraisers in the US imply that malaria problems could be resolved if only development actors would supply enough nets.  Perhaps because measuring net distribution is easier than measuring the accompanying behavior change or (as detailed above at length) measuring impact on incidence rates?</p>
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		<title>By: Luis Enrique</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4469</link>
		<dc:creator>Luis Enrique</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2009 00:49:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4469</guid>
		<description>Felix Salmon asks Maleria Matters, and gets pointed to research suggesting Gates&#039; numbers might be reasonable:
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/market-movers/2009/02/12/malaria-easterly-vs-gates?tid=true&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/market-movers/2009/02/12/malaria-easterly-vs-gates?tid=true&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Felix Salmon asks Maleria Matters, and gets pointed to research suggesting Gates&#8217; numbers might be reasonable:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/market-movers/2009/02/12/malaria-easterly-vs-gates?tid=true" rel="nofollow">http://www.portfolio.com/views/blogs/market-movers/2009/02/12/malaria-easterly-vs-gates?tid=true</a></p>
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		<title>By: femmeautonome</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4468</link>
		<dc:creator>femmeautonome</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 17:04:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4468</guid>
		<description>What I am curious to know about is whether the Gates foundation or any other organization &quot;fighting&quot; against the malaria has put some money towards studying what Africans did to treat malaria before modern medicines and mosquito nets.
I know someone who was treated as a child by an older remedy in one bout with malaria (believe it or not, many people get malaria several times and don&#039;t die!  I myself have survived malaria as a child).  This person felt better the same day and was well the next day - after having been practically bedridden. The knowledge of the herbs/etc used for the treatment is lost, though.  From my experience in West Africa, I saw generic malaria meds everywhere - from the big cities to the villages.  I didn&#039;t see/hear of people taking them regularly.
&lt;a href=&quot;http://femmeautonome.blogspot.com/search/label/malaria&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://femmeautonome.blogspot.com/search/label/malaria&lt;/a&gt;
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What I am curious to know about is whether the Gates foundation or any other organization &#8220;fighting&#8221; against the malaria has put some money towards studying what Africans did to treat malaria before modern medicines and mosquito nets.</p>
<p>I know someone who was treated as a child by an older remedy in one bout with malaria (believe it or not, many people get malaria several times and don&#8217;t die!  I myself have survived malaria as a child).  This person felt better the same day and was well the next day &#8211; after having been practically bedridden. The knowledge of the herbs/etc used for the treatment is lost, though.  From my experience in West Africa, I saw generic malaria meds everywhere &#8211; from the big cities to the villages.  I didn&#8217;t see/hear of people taking them regularly.</p>
<p><a href="http://femmeautonome.blogspot.com/search/label/malaria" rel="nofollow">http://femmeautonome.blogspot.com/search/label/malaria</a></p>
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		<title>By: April</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4467</link>
		<dc:creator>April</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 12:14:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4467</guid>
		<description>Bill,
You&#039;ve hit a very important nail on the head.
The information about program implementation and impact which is collected and used in malaria programs is terrible: almost all of it comes from program reports of drugs or nets distributed, and/ or similar numbers from the information systems for public facilities.  These numbers themselves are  not very reliable, and we know that a bednet handed out is a long way from a bednet being slept under when mosquitoes are out. Ditto for drugs. Yet - the global community plows onward blindly.  My friend Benjamin Loevinsohn asked me recently if we&#039;d ever get tired of &quot;bowling in the dark&quot;.  It occurs to me that we may prefer it, because then we can always just say that we are succeeding...with no info to contradict us.
Two actions which the Gates&#039; and other donors could contribute to, which would really make a difference are:
1) to move to doing household surveys every 2 years, rather than every 5.  This would be frequent enough to give us much more insight into which progam interventions are really making a difference; and,
2) START (for the first time, believe it or not) conducting yearly facility surveys to find out what is happening at that level.
These initiatives would cost a fraction of the money that is wasted by continuing to use program approaches that aren&#039;t working.
Thanks again for drawing attention to this critical, and all too often overlooked, issue.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bill,</p>
<p>You&#8217;ve hit a very important nail on the head.</p>
<p>The information about program implementation and impact which is collected and used in malaria programs is terrible: almost all of it comes from program reports of drugs or nets distributed, and/ or similar numbers from the information systems for public facilities.  These numbers themselves are  not very reliable, and we know that a bednet handed out is a long way from a bednet being slept under when mosquitoes are out. Ditto for drugs. Yet &#8211; the global community plows onward blindly.  My friend Benjamin Loevinsohn asked me recently if we&#8217;d ever get tired of &#8220;bowling in the dark&#8221;.  It occurs to me that we may prefer it, because then we can always just say that we are succeeding&#8230;with no info to contradict us.</p>
<p>Two actions which the Gates&#8217; and other donors could contribute to, which would really make a difference are:</p>
<p>1) to move to doing household surveys every 2 years, rather than every 5.  This would be frequent enough to give us much more insight into which progam interventions are really making a difference; and,</p>
<p>2) START (for the first time, believe it or not) conducting yearly facility surveys to find out what is happening at that level.</p>
<p>These initiatives would cost a fraction of the money that is wasted by continuing to use program approaches that aren&#8217;t working.</p>
<p>Thanks again for drawing attention to this critical, and all too often overlooked, issue.</p>
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		<title>By: Jeff Barnes</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4466</link>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Barnes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 09:36:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4466</guid>
		<description>Bill-
Great post, great  blog.   I just got back from Kenya where there has been massive net distribution and similar claims of reduction of millions of malaria cases saved.  Unfortunately, I discovered that providers almost never actually test for malaria and lab capacity is abysmal.  Probably 90% of fevers are reported as a malaria case.  It would take a massive survey involving blood sampling to get a reliable estimate of the reduction of malaria and considerable investment would have to be made in building the countries diagnostic capacity to do it.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bill-</p>
<p>Great post, great  blog.   I just got back from Kenya where there has been massive net distribution and similar claims of reduction of millions of malaria cases saved.  Unfortunately, I discovered that providers almost never actually test for malaria and lab capacity is abysmal.  Probably 90% of fevers are reported as a malaria case.  It would take a massive survey involving blood sampling to get a reliable estimate of the reduction of malaria and considerable investment would have to be made in building the countries diagnostic capacity to do it.</p>
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		<title>By: Richard Tren</title>
		<link>http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/comment-page-1/#comment-4465</link>
		<dc:creator>Richard Tren</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Feb 2009 06:43:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://aidwatchers.com/2009/02/did-bill-and-melinda-gates-claim-malaria-victories-based-on-phony-numbers/#comment-4465</guid>
		<description>A follow up to Roger Bate&#039;s post.  WHO AFRO still has the press release up (claiming nets account for the South Africa/Mozambique corridor success, when it was really indoor spraying).  They moved it from their press releases section to Notes for the Press - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/index.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/index.html&lt;/a&gt;
The offending article is here - &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/2008/pr20081905.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/2008/pr20081905.html&lt;/a&gt;
Roger and I and others protested to the WHO; we never had any response to these letters, e.g. - &lt;a href=&quot;http://fightingmalaria.org/pdfs/WHOAFRO_Press_Release.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://fightingmalaria.org/pdfs/WHOAFRO_Press_Release.pdf&lt;/a&gt;
Thanks
Richard
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A follow up to Roger Bate&#8217;s post.  WHO AFRO still has the press release up (claiming nets account for the South Africa/Mozambique corridor success, when it was really indoor spraying).  They moved it from their press releases section to Notes for the Press &#8211; <a href="http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/index.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/index.html</a></p>
<p>The offending article is here &#8211; <a href="http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/2008/pr20081905.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.afro.who.int/note_press/2008/pr20081905.html</a></p>
<p>Roger and I and others protested to the WHO; we never had any response to these letters, e.g. &#8211; <a href="http://fightingmalaria.org/pdfs/WHOAFRO_Press_Release.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://fightingmalaria.org/pdfs/WHOAFRO_Press_Release.pdf</a></p>
<p>Thanks</p>
<p>Richard</p>
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